S&P 500 – Talking Points
- S&P 500 slowly creeps larger towards 3900
- US CPI knowledge on Wednesday comes into focus
- BoC price resolution, PPI, & shopper sentiment knowledge additionally on faucet
The S&P 500 superior on Tuesday as merchants eagerly away Wednesday’s US CPI print. Following a tricky Monday session that was dominated by recession fears, equities pushed larger Tuesday with financials and supplies main the way in which for the S&P 500. Bank earnings kick off, which can garner important consideration. Commentary from financial institution CEOs on the state of the economic system could set the temper as we push forward to retail earnings later within the month, which can show to be the catalyst for the following main transfer in equities. XLE, the power sector ETF, was buying and selling down 2% as WTI fell greater than 6%.
Prior to financial institution earnings, fairness merchants will probably be seeking to tomorrow’s US CPI print with warning. Inflation and inflation expectations have been the most important driver of sentiment and value motion of late. CPI is forecasted to come back in at 8.8% YoY, whereas Core CPI is anticipated at 5.7%. A sizzling print has the potential to place extra stress on danger, as merchants will enhance bets on hawkish Fed coverage. Wednesday additionally sees a Bank of Canada rate of interest resolution, whereas the remainder of the week is filled with PPI and shopper sentiment releases.
Upcoming Economic Calendar (High Impact Events)
Courtesy of the DailyFX Economic Calendar
Despite the gradual march larger in Tuesday’s session, S&P 500 futures (ES) couldn’t reclaim the 3900 threshold. That space has been an honest fade zone for bears to enter contemporary shorts, with every advance being rejected promptly. Price motion could calm down forward of the most important inflation knowledge tomorrow, so we could overlook an explosive break in both path towards the tip of the NY session. Personally, 3854 stays my pivot space within the present zone ES finds itself in. If that line within the sand can maintain, value could look to ultimately retest 3900 and the late-June swing excessive round 3950. A disappointing sizzling print tomorrow morning might reinvigorate bears, and couple that with recession fears and chances are you’ll get a retest of help at 3756.
S&P 500 Futures 1 Hour Chart
Chart created with TradingView
Resources for Forex Traders
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— Written by Brendan Fagan, Intern
To contact Brendan, use the feedback part beneath or @BrendanFaganFX on Twitter
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